MATH 119 - ELEMENTARY STATISTICS

GREAT POLLING SITES!

www.rasmussenreports.com

www.fivethirtyeight.com

www.surveyusa.com

www.realclearpolitics.com

ARTICLES ON POLLS!

Polls (my handout in class: revised Spring 2009)

About margin of error

Questions you should ask about polls

Problems for Pollsters (Victims of new technologies!)

How CNN Makes Election Projections (No more Floridas!)

• ARTICLE ON BAD CALL IN NH SENATE RACE '96

Math119Swett.pdf

2006 ELECTION AND EXIT POLL "FORCING"

Math119Fraud2006.pdf (pdf file) …

http://www.opednews.com/articles/genera_rob_kall_061117_clear_evidence_2006_.htm (link)

2004 ELECTION

• Robert Kennedy, Jr. discusses exit polls and the 2004 election. Some of you may want to skip directly to "I. The Exit Polls" for the detailed analysis.

DISCLAIMER: Kennedy is a liberal Democrat, and the truthout.org site also has that slant.

http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/10432334/was_the_2004_election_stolen

http://www.rollingstone.com/photos/gallery/10467024/ (The Charts)

http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/060106R.shtml (easy-to-access footnotes)

The Art of Election Polling (Why did polls in 2004 vary so much?)

Exit Poll Fixes (What went wrong with the exit polls in the 2004 election?)

Math119ExitPolls2004.pdf (more)

2003 CA RECALL ELECTION

How did Arnold win?

2000 ELECTION

The polls blundered in 2000: Math119Polls2000.pdf.